National Hurricane Center/NOAA

Tropical wave likely to bring heavy rains to Central Texas this weekend

September 12, 2018 - 7:34 am
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(KJCE) -- A tropical wave now in the Gulf of Mexico is likely to bring periods of heavy rainfall to Central Texas this weekend, forecasters say.

As of Wednesday afternoon, the National Hurricane Center says there is a 70 percent chance that what forecasters currently refer to as Invest 95L will become a tropical cyclone in the next 48 hours. Regardless of whether the disturbance develops further, it will still likely bring heavy rainfall to portions of Mexico, Texas, and even Louisiana.

Here is the 1 p.m. Wednesday update from the National Hurricane Center:

Satellite images and surface observations indicate that a broad area of low pressure has formed in the central Gulf of Mexico. Although the shower activity is still disorganized, upper-level winds are forecast to become more conducive for development, and it is likely that a tropical depression will form on Thursday, before the system reaches the western Gulf coast. Another reconnaissance plane is scheduled to investigate the disturbance tomorrow. Regardless of development, heavy rainfall and gusty winds are expected across portions of northeastern Mexico, Texas, and Louisiana late this week, and interests there should monitor the progress of this system, and refer to products from their local weather office. * Formation chance through 48 hours...high...70 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...high...70 percent.

With recent rains across Central Texas, the ground is already very saturated, creating an increased threat for flash flooding with any heavy rainfall.

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